
The war in Ukraine is a tragic event but it’s one that we can all learn
from. Nothing provides as much valuable information as real world
situations where ordinary people are forced to deal with extraordinary
events. At the end of the day, the war in Ukraine gives us plenty of
examples of what works and what doesn’t, and while personal experience
is important, the wise person learns from other people’s mistakes so as
to not repeat them himself.
There are several articles explaining what people are going through in eastern Ukraine right now. This article over at
dailymail provides a good visual image of what people are going through. There’s also a thread in
survivalist boards where
a Dunbass resident that goes by the name of George1980 has been
posting, sharing his experiences. I highly recommend reading it if you
have the time.
Using this information, here are twelve important lessons based what has happened so far in Ukraine:
1)Artillery & infantry beats survivalist hero fantasies. Every. Single. Time.
Maybe the most obvious lesson to be learned is how miserably all these
fantasies about forming survival groups, living in a retreat while
fighting against impossible odds would ultimately fail. There’s simply
no surviving against an occupation force when facing them as an
individual or small group. Houses, towns and even entire cities can
eventually get surrounded and overpowered. A single house or compound
represents a laughable resistance to organized armed forces, let alone
ones with artillery and air support at their disposal. Once shooting at
your position is no longer fun, they’ll just blow you up. It’s as simple
as that.
A refugee woman receive humanitarian aid at the “Station Kharkiv” volunteers help centre at Krasnotkatska str. Kharkiv, Ukraine.
2)Cover the basics. Food, water, shelter and medicines.
In various parts of eastern Ukraine, People are suffering the lack of
water, electricity and food shortages. You need to store food, food that
requires no refrigeration and little or no cooking. You need water, not
just a
water filter
(which you should have as well) but actual jugs of water. For true
emergencies and survival situations, just like you can’t have too much
food you can’t have too much water. Have a well, have a river, if
nothing else keep an eye out for large barrels on sale and keep some
full of water. Even the jugs for carrying water become valuable. Have a
good supply of medicines: ibuprofen, vomit and diarrhea medicine, liquid
ibuprofen for children, bandages, diapers, formula and antibiotics.
Antibiotics are the difference between life and death when you need
them. Have lanterns, flashlights and lots of batteries. Get and
emergency crank radio. Get a
solar charger for
your phone and batteries. Have alternative means of cooking and
heating. A wood burning stove may do the trick, but make sure you always
keep extra wood stored for emergencies. Maybe you’re lucky enough to
still have power, if so an electric burner can be put to good use then,
saving other fuels for when power goes out. Have extra fuel in storage
for your vehicle, enough to make it to your potential bug out location
in case you have to leave in a hurry. Have a
tent and
sleeping bags.
These can be used not only for sleeping in tents, but also if you
happen to find yourself in a refugee camp during winter or in an
unfurnished flat after evacuation or if you’re staying with friends or
family.
In a shelled city, underground is the only safe place to be,
to some extent at least. An actual bunker would be ideal, but people
try finding shelter anywhere underground. In buildings, windows and
doors are covered with sandbags and people sleep in the interior room
away from exterior walls and windows. Windows never survive shelling.
The broken glass makes it impossible to stay warm in winter. Plastic
sheeting can sometimes be used to close openings and still allow light
in, but this is far from an ideal solution and he loss of heat is
substantial.
3)Don’t get involved.
From a survival perspective, the best way to go about conflicts that
can develop into violent clashes is to not get involved in the first
place. Avoid going to protests and marches. This is especially true in
cases such as the one of Ukraine, where people are seen on one side or
the other during protests and clashes, often filmed. Something as simple
as a rival remembering your face from the rallies can land you in jail
or worse. In this kind of situation, it’s even neighbors, former friends
and coworkers that may remember your political affiliation. They may
end up mentioning your name to the new authorities and they will come
after you.
4)Attitude, clothes, and gear can get you killed or arrested.
Here is where the gray man approach comes into play. Be as neutral as
possible not only regarding your actions and behavior, but also when it
comes to insignias, clothes, and gear. Even beards or unusual or
characteristic hair styles can get you in trouble. According to
George1980 “There was very unpleasant situation on the Ukrainian
check-point, when one soldier wanted to arrest me as separatist))
Fortunately, my wife and daughters were with me and this soldier did not
stopped me. Problem was that I have a beard and, may be, my face was
very “suspicious” ))) Soldier told me that)”.
Checkpoints in Ukraine
are there for a reason: finding enemies. Having a weapon can get you
into trouble, but also things such as maps, GPS, political propaganda,
radios, this can all be consider espionage material. Adventurers
traveling around the world have often mentioned how they get arrested in
war zones because of their cameras and laptops. You’re not local, you
have electronics capable of being used for communication, then you’re a
suspect until proven otherwise. Lots of people have GPS, radios and maps
in their Bug Out Bags. Just make sure to be smart about it and
understand that in some cases, when dealing with factions fighting over
power, it can get you in trouble and its better to get rid of some of it
before reaching a checkpoint.
5) Learn to deal with checkpoints.
In checkpoints, women and children aren’t as carefully inspected as
men. Private vehicles are checked much more thoroughly than public
transportation. Maybe you’re better off taking a bus or train. Its
important to travel light and be in good health and properly dressed to
walk long distances if needed. Bribes may be needed so have cash. A
hidden weapon may get you killed or arrested. Is it worth the risk to
conceal a handgun among your belongings while evacuating? Probably not,
but you’ll have to decide that yourself given your specific situation.
Valuable items such as jewelry, cash and even electronics may be
“confiscated” or downright stolen by the troops. Conceal them as well as
you can. Cash and small gold coins can be hidden in shoe insoles,
inside children toys or dirty diapers in the baby’s diaper bag. Coins
can be sewed under jacket patches and insignias, under buttons. Women
have managed to hide small rolls of cash inside them as if they were
tampons, placed inside condoms. Refugees have swallowed small gold coins
and jewelry so as to be recovered later. Desperate times call for
desperate measures. When it comes to gold vs silver, gold is more
compact and easier to hide. I wouldn’t like to swallow 1000 usd worth or
silver coins!
6)Guns can save you, but they can also get you killed.
According to George1980 “separatists very afraid Ukrainian saboteurs on
their territory and try to catch every man with gun who are not from
their “Army”.”
Are you fighting along with one of the factions
involved? If not, then make sure you’re not confused with one. If you
just want to be left alone, then don’t openly carry a gun. Openly
carrying a weapon means you are a fighter on either side of the
conflict. If you’re not with either one, BOTH will consider you an armed
enemy. At the end of the day a gun can save your life, but in a world
of no easy black and white answers a gun can also get you killed. Keep
any weapons concealed, and be ready to ditch them, sell them or cache
them depending on the situation you are involved in. Just going gun-ho
is not the one and only answer to all problems.
I sure would like to
be armed if I was still in Argentina today. If there’s trouble, 1000
bucks will most likely buy any cop’s silence. At the same time, in the
70’s during the military Junta and state terrorism, going around armed
in Argentina wasn’t a good idea if you wanted to avoid trouble. If you
were caught and found to be armed, the security forces would immediately
assume you were a montonero, a leftist terrorist, and you would be
tortured, executed or go “missing”. During these torture sessions,
people that had no involvement would often mention the names of innocent
people, just to stop the tortures. Just being in the wrong phone list
of a coworker or fellow student was enough for the security forces to
pay you a visit.
7)Get a Glock 9mm and a rifle with a folding stock.
As explained earlier, you want to be able to conceal your weapons.
Eventually, you may have to leave behind you rifle and even your
handgun. You sure won’t be boarding an evacuation plane with one. What
about going through check points? Is it worth getting killed or
arrested? Or are you better of selling you gun to someone that is
staying behind, grab a few extra hundred bucks just as you board a bus
or train leaving the conflict area? You want a gun that is ubiquitous,
that fires a common round and has a well-known reputation. Basically you
want a great weapon that works well for you, but you also want a weapon
that is eventually easy to sell as well. Conflict or not, Glocks and
AKs are great staples.
8)Passports and ID are crucial.
When traveling away from the conflict zones in Ukraine you better have
your ID. Soldiers at checkpoints will want passports, driver licenses or
other ID proofs. They may not ask for them all the time, but if they
do, you better have them. They will want to know as much about you as
possible. If you get the chance to leave the country, you better have
your passport ready as well. Other countries are already refusing offer
asylum to refugees. Here is where a second citizenship would be just
priceless. While others are refused entry, having an EU passport would
mean you could just board a plane and start over elsewhere while others
are refused entry entirely or have to go wherever they offer asylum.
Because of this, having updated documents is very important.
Many
Americans fail miserably at this part and just don’t understand how
important it is. My parents grew up in Argentina during the 70’s. Even
years after the end of the dictatorship, I remember the look on their
faces if they forgot their wallet when going out. They were terrified.
Back in the day, getting stopped by the police and being caught without
your “documentos” meant you weren’t making it back home that night. If
you couldn’t prove your ID, you were considered an enemy/extremist/spy.
The Triple A (Argentine Anticommunist Alliance) were constantly looking
for left wing activists. People have been arrested and tortured just
because they had long hair or dressed like hippies. You wanted to be as
gray as possible, literally gray, so as to avoid being thrown inside one
of the Triple A’s infamous olive green Ford Falcons, never to be seen
again.
9)Cash is king
Food was still
available in Donetsk, but people just didn’t have enough cash to afford
it. With inflation being about 30% a month, food prices go up
accordingly, so you’re better off with Dollars or Euros rather than
local currency. They may not be accepted in some chain stores, but you
can exchange them on banks or on the streets at the ongoing currency
exchange rate, protecting your savings from inflation and only changing
for local currency as needed.
At one point George1980 said “So my conclusion is so: cash is main tool of survivor!”
I couldn’t agree more.
10)Work on your EDC
The poorest refugees arrive by train and bus, while those with means come by car.
When
bombs began falling close to an elderly woman's home near Lugansk's
airport, "the granny grabbed her granddaughter, and they jumped on a
train and came here with only the clothes on their back," Shapoval said.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2014/07/02/ukraine-war-refugees/11927955/
One day it may be all you have to work with. George1980 mentioned how
important a good multitool was, how at times it was the only tool he had
after leaving Dumbass and moving into an empty flat. This is a actually
a great point. I always think of my everyday carry kit in such terms.
If the flashlight I have in my pocket right now is the only one I’ll
ever have or the one I’ll have to use to get by for years. Which one
would I rather have? If my folding knife is the one I’ll have for
defending myself, for prying open a window or a door after artillery
hits my home or for preparing food, what kind of knife would I like to
have? How about having to sell that knife for much needed cash or use it
to bribe a Ukraine or Russian soldier in a checkpoint, which knife and
multitool would I like to have to bargain with? What if I have to leave
with nothing but the clothes on my back, I evacuate on foot with my
family, everyone soaking wet, can I start a fire? As a matter of fact,
do I even have enough cash to buy bus or train tickets for everyone?
11)Open an off shore account
Greece, Ukraine, Iceland, Argentina, doesn’t matter where it is, when
things get ugly, the currency starts devaluating and banks close their
doors you’ll want an off shore account. Maybe you keep some of your
savings there. Maybe you make a transfer just in case when you hear some
bad rumors floating around. Transfer fees aren’t very high and its
cheap insurance. One thing is for sure: Just like you can’t buy a gun
when bad guys are kicking down your front door, you cant open an account
in a foreign country just when the local economy is about to go to
hell. You need to do these things ahead of time. An offshore bank
account means you can keep some of your savings abroad, move money
around, move elsewhere and keep you money safe even if your country if
falling apart. People in Ukraine sure understand the value of such an
asset.
12)Be ready to bug out and know when to do so
If there is one thing we can learn from the war in Ukraine, as well as
war and conflict in other parts of the world, is that not being there is
the best thing you can do to ensure your survival and well-being of
your family. Always have a bug out abroad plan, no matter who you are or
where you live. Just think about it. If you had to leave your country
today, (don’t think of all the reasons you wouldn’t, just for a second,
think about it as if you didn’t have an option). Where would you go? Do
you know someone there that can help you?
Finally, know when it’s time to leave. This is something I address and emphasize in my book
“Bugging Out & Relocating”.
It’s about having a plan but also crucial, it’s about executing it at
the right time. Those that hesitate, those that choose denial when the
signs are all over the place, they may live to regret that. A day too
late, an hour too late may make all the difference in the world.
FerFAL
Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.