Tuesday, July 29, 2014

Solar Storm: How to Get Ready

NASA says there is an estimated 12% chance of a "Carrington-class" event (solar storm of 1859) occurring between 2014 and 2024. 12% of getting hit every 10 is maybe not the worst odds but they are still bad enough and deserve at least some pondering so lets do just that.

So What can you do?

Quoting from The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy: Don’t Panic. Really, chances of getting hit are low, and even if we do the magnitude and which parts of the world are affected the most will vary greatly. Worst case scenario we’re looking at entire continents suffering significant damage to their power grid. With most of the infrastructure depending on electricity that’s not very encouraging but its not the end of the world.
Most sensitive electronics would suffer significant damage as the grid goes down. Keep in mind that we can get up to a 3 day warning, between the moment the Coronal mass ejection or flare is detected in the sun and it actually hitting Earth, so most developed nations will be able to take at least some steps to absorb the damage as best as possible even if they don’t disclose the info to the general public to avoid civil unrest, like they did last time.

1)Have the necessary supplies to Bug In

We’re basically looking at having alternative ways of heating, cooking, communicating, transportation and pumping water. This isn’t that different from a power outage scenario where you don’t have electricity.
For staying warm, and for those that don’t have wood burning stoves and fireplaces, the kerosene heater is a great solution. You should have one of these already anyway. Either get one from Amazon or keep an eye out for one in flea markets or garage sales.  If you’re not familiar with kerosene heaters check this video I did as aquick intro.
Kerosene heaters are relatively cheap, EMP proof since there’s no electric components in most of them, safe, very simple to use and dependable. They are much more efficient than generators too when it comes to converting fuel to heat and you can even cook with some models. This is the one I recommend, lots of heat and you can cook on top of it.

Sengoku CV-2230 KeroHeat Convection 23,000-BTU Portable Kerosene Heater

 For smaller houses and apartments I recommend this other model. 
 Sengoku CTN-110 KeroHeat 10,000 BTU Portable Radiant Kerosene Heater, Beige

Of course lighting would be another issue to tackle. Besides flashlights and lanterns, a good idea is to get some cheap string lights and some AA batteries would work nicely for general illumination around the house. 

It goes without saying that during an extended blackout, maybe with some civil unrest on the streets, you need supplies to stay put until things go back to normal or at least calm down. You will need food (that requires no cooking or at least can be cooked fast, for this I like pasta) canned food, and don’t forget to store plenty of water. People think electricity is the problem, but its not, the real problem during an extended widespread blackout is the lack of water, so store plenty of it in any bit of space you have available use everything from drums to soda bottles under the stairs filled with tap water. If things get REALLY bad, you’ll thank me one day.
Of course, you need a weapon to defend yourself. At least have one firearm at home. Ideally you should own a big bore pistol you received proper instruction on how to operate, if nothing else get a simple revolver that while mechanically more complex has a more simple user interface.
For EMP specific preparedness you want to keep at least some of your electronics safe, just in case. For that you need a Faraday Cage or Box which is fairly simple to build and test. Basically you need to keep the gear in a metal box, fully surrounded by metal. Even a wooden box wrapped in metal foil will work. Ammo cans have rubber sealed which prevent it from fully wrapping the equipment in metal. A crude way of testing is turning on a radio or leaving a phone inside and calling. It should not be able to pick a signal. Sometimes removing the rubber works but make sure you test it. Inside this box at least have a FM radio, a couple LED flashlights and batteries. If you can, include a UHF/VHF radio and a world band radio, which are pretty affordable. World band radios can pick up signals from far distant countries and should the worst happen a world radio in a Faraday cage is cheap insurance.
 TECSUN PL-380 DSP FM stereo. MW. SW. LW. World Band PLL Radio Receiver, LCD Display, ETM Function Added

2)Have a plan of Action

A plan for what to do if a disaster strikes and communications are lost. Where family members go depending on the event taking place, what routes to take, who’s picking up who are some of the strategies to be discussed, each family member’s role clearly explained and everyone’s responsibilities understood.
In most cases, the strategy will be to get everyone home as quickly as possible and shelter in place during the duration of the emergency. Depending on the magnitude of the disaster it may be days or weeks until power is restored, we just don’t know. Keep in mind that repair crews and emergency services will focus their efforts so as to help the most people per hour. This means that just as we see during storms, larger population centers may get power back quicker than some of the most distant smaller towns. 

3)Have a Bug out Plan

Since there is no way of knowing how bad the event may be and how long it may take until order is restored plans so as to bug out or even relocate abroad during a worst case scenario must be in place as well. Some cities are simply impossible to live in for extended periods of time without power. Power is needed to pump water, heat with and run AC, pump sewers, even move people in elevators. A powerful enough solar storm can in theory ruin the infrastructure to a degree that it may take months to rebuild, along with a devastating economic damage. In such as case it may be advised to move somewhere else, maybe even move to another country that hasn’t been affected as badly.  


1 comment:

Anonymous said...

Common misunderstanding:

A solar storm will not harm your electronics (a nuclear EMP can) - so no Faraday cage is necessary for a solar storm. A Solar storm can potentially damage the power grid. So think of the threat as an extended power outage and prepare accordingly.