It seems that for every blogger or forum member there’s a survival expert as well. That’s great because there’s such wealth of information and you can learn from different experiences and accounts.
Then again the downside… every blogger and member thinks he’s an expert.
You see, for realistic survival and preparedness it’s crucial to
differentiate the “I think” and “I believe” from the “this is how it
went down” “this is why”.
We all know that food is essential for
survival. No food and you won’t last long. Same goes for water (and I
see it overlooked more often). Keep in mind that while a day without
food may suck a bit, but a day without water will be tough indeed. In
certain warm climates it can be downright dangerous.
We all get how
important food and water is, but then there’s the classic survival
question: How much food should you have stored for emergencies?
Doomers say you need years worth of food. Decades even. After all you
die if you don’t eat. Members of The Church of Jesus Christ of
Latter-day Saints (Mormons) are famous for their year worth of food
approach, although many have far less than that.
speaking, what would a real expert recommend? Ready.gov says to have 3
days worth of shelf stable food and bottled water. That may seem as very
little but in general most emergencies are either resolved within that
time frame or help becomes available. Still, tell this to anyone that
spent a week or more snowed in during a storm and he’ll find it lacking.
So how much? A Week? A Month? A year?
The first piece of advice is one you’ve probably heard before and that
it is to store what you eat. If your kids don’t even know what rice
looks like then having buckets full of the stuff isnt that much of a
good idea. Either store something else or actually start eating rice.
There’s two very important reasons for this.
First, if you don’t rotate your food supply it just becomes one of
those “just in case” things, and you’ll find yourself throwing food away
every few years. This makes keeping large quantities of food stored a
great waste of money. Second, if you store what you eat there wont be
any difference between emergencies and “normal” times, at least food
In our home we love rice and lentils and prepare rice and
lentils stews often. Its tasty, very healthy, stores well for years and
its pretty affordable too. Some canned tomato and vegetables and you
have all you need for a great nutritional meal.
point is understanding how much calories you actually need. The standard
reply here is 2000 calories. Sure, if trekking the north pole you’ll
need 5000 instead but even if some manual labour may be needed during
disasters there’s people that stay healthy AND active with a lower
caloric diet. 2000 will do well enough.
OK ... SO HOW MUCH DO I NEED?
The 3 day recommendation by ready.gov is based on a rather optimistic
government recommendation. If they have said instead to have 7 days
immediately people would be wondering “Wait, so you’ll let me hang there
for an entire week?!” People don’t react well to uncertainty and
avoiding panic is a government’s #1 priority. Two weeks worth of
groceries is just common sense. It doesn’t put a significant dent in
your wallet if done correctly, and yes, it is true that it will cover
99% of the disasters and emergencies you’re likely to face in your
I already imagine people thinking “but I want to be ready for SHTF, a worst case scenario, the real end of the world stuff!”.
OK, lets do that. Lets say it’s a worst case, total SHTF scenario. But
lets keep it real and look how does it actually play out in the real
world rather than fantasize about it.
Lets say you have 2 years, no, 10 years worth of food. Lets say you
have that plus means of producing more, a fully working farm.
lets suppose you have your ten year supply of food, plus a farm, plus a
pile of guns and ammo… and you’re sitting in Eastern Ukraine when the
Russian troops roll in. Or Aleppo when they are levelling every
structure around you with barrel bombs. Or in South Africa when white
farmers were exterminated and kicked out of their homes. Or in Fukushima
when the tsunami destroyed everything and the radiation scorched the
land. Do you see a trend here? More food, or a bigger farm would have
done you no good. In all of these sometimes like more cash or gold to
take along with you when you bug out or even better money in an offshore
account would have been far more useful.
“But… I want the end of the world to be more convenient…”
Ok, what about Venezuela? You have out of control inflation, out of
control crime and poverty with people starving. Even farmers starve
there(posted about just this a few weeks ago), just like Irish farmers
starved during the genocide known as the Great Famine or Ukranian
farmers died during Holodomor, reduced to cannibalism. Yes, sometimes
its natural disasters, but in others its lack of means of production,
and an authoritarian government ensure that people starve in spite of
having land and the knowledge to work it.
In my experience after the
collapse of Argentina’s economy I would say it was somewhat similar to
Venezuela during the times of Chavez. By this I mean horrible inflation,
but not reaching the levels of food poverty seen today in Venezuela.
Food was available, just two or three times more expensive than before.
Just imagine how you would deal with such a scenario if you woke up to
it tomorrow. Indeed, we all wished we had more food stocked up, and we
rushed to buy more right away desperately trying to beat the nonstop
inflation. I sure kept several months worth of food stockpiled. But
still, at the end of the day if you had money you ate.
I stayed for
over a decade after the collapse of 2001. In retrospective I probably
should have left sooner. Personal circumstances, heck, life I guess,
made us delay our departure. Still, we always had the resources to leave
ASAP if needed. This is more than what most people in Venezuela can
In such a complex situation would a 10 year supply of food, or a farm,
made much of a difference? Not really. The food would have been nice,
but the money to buy it was just as good besides having a conservative
stockpile. A farm? Maybe more of an anchor to the country at a time when
leaving was the clear path. A farm in a place like Venezuela, where you
cant sell it, or if you do you don’t get anything for it, really does
you no good.
So, start with a couple weeks worth of stockpiled food.
Work towards a month. Then 6 when you can afford it and have the room
for it. 6 to 12 months is the maximum I would recommend, with 6 months
being the most realistic objective for most people. Six months of food
gives you plenty of time for things such as unemployment, family
problems. 12 months helps greatly when dealing with inflated prices,
food shortages, and overall instability in the country where you maybe
spent several months maybe saving money and looking for a job abroad,
for a way out of the country entirely.
The lesson being, If you need
more than 12 months worth of food, then more food will do you no good
because what you really need is to get the hell out of there!
Take care folks,
Fernando “FerFAL” Aguirre is the author of “The Modern Survival Manual: Surviving the Economic Collapse” and “Bugging Out and Relocating: When Staying is not an Option”.