Judging by what's going today on between the earthquakes in China, Haiti, Tsunami and the volcano in Iceland. The mother of all SHTF scenerios could be caused by a natural disaster. This scenerio puts rich western countries economic resources on the brink of collapse and economic confidence is lost. As we already know it's unhealthy to sit around waiting for doomsday. My concern is a natural disaster that is enough to dislodge any economic recovery world wide and maybe enough to slide us into a panic or depression. We often talk in the context of currency devaluation or stock market decline but this threat has always existed.
I'm not talking about an extectintion level event neither (like a asteroid) of course we would not have anything to worry about because we will all be dead. How about a scenerio where the natural disaster has a low\mid\high casualty rate but the economic damage is enough to derail any recovery and\or put us in a position of a depression where the powers to be can no longer lie to us. Where life goes on like in Argentina but on a global scale.
Case in point. They are already comparing ecomonic damage done to the airline industry by the volcano to the 9/11 event. Not to mention when Eyjafjallajökull http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eyjafjallaj%C3%B6kull there is usually a follow-up eruption from a nearby volcano http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Katla. I'm sure we are in the early stages of calculating the economic damage. Britain is sending ships to pick up UK citizens.
In any of these scenerios the person not has not worked in 2 to 3 years or is currently on unemployment does not realize an event like this could make them descend into the economic abyss.
What is your take?
You’re talking about a generalized situation , 1st world countries falling to 3rd world status, mostly because they can’t recover after the natural disaster.
I think it’s a good supposition, a realistic one, of what would happen during such a worst case scenario.
When people talk about these things, I always fall back to Bolivia. If Bolivia still has electricity and running water (at least in some parts) then guys, we’re never going back to the 18th century. Bolivia is as bad as it could get.
Now that’s no picnic none the less. It would be a disaster for prosperous nations to fall to such a degree.
I think that what we preach here often still applies: 1) Be ready to face problems/disasters. 2) Know that in worst case scenarios, moving away form the State/Province in question or leaving the country or continent entirely is the best solution.
This applies to the situations you mention, and it would work for people in Chile after the quake.
In the case of Chile, you have your supplies to make it, water, food, and a gun for self defense, flashlights because of lack of power, a netbook/notebook to keep in touch if you find internet signal, and you get by during the first stages after the incident. Then when you organize things, you leave the are or better yet, the country for some time, hopefully relocate.